18 Mayıs 2015 Pazartesi

Alternatives to the Federal Reserve

A special issue of the Journal of Financial Stability, edited by George Selgin, has been published which examines past and present alternatives to the Federal Reserve system. Notable contributions to the the special issue include Matthew Jaremski (on clearinghouses as credit regulators), Hugh Rockoff (on Sprague and the founding of the Fed), Lawrence H. White (on returning to a commodity standard), Scott Sumner (on Nominal GDP futures targeting) and Gerald Dwyer (on Bitcoin).

13 Mayıs 2015 Çarşamba

Free Banking History

The Cato Blog has a great post based on an excerpt from Larry White's piece on Free Banking in History and Theory

Free banking is the view that money and banking are best left to the invisible hand of market forces - no need for a central bank, lender of last resort or bank regulation. Free bankers argue that these things tend to destabilise banking systems and economies. They point to historical episodes where monetary and banking systems were relatively free of interference by the government to show the efficacy of free banking - episodes where banks issued notes redeemable for a precious commodity. Of course, no historical system is perfectly free of government interference, but Australia in the second half of the nineteenth century probably comes closest.

I've dabbled in free banking history in the past - see my article on Australia here and my article on early joint-stock banking here. I find that free banking worked when there were credible constraints on the ability of bankers to risk shift (e.g., unlimited liability) and failed when such constraints were absent e.g., Australia had a large banking crisis in 1893 - free banking went awry.

Do we need central banks? In my new book Banking in Crisis, I suggest that free banking was not possible in a world where governments needed access to the emergency war finance which could only be generated by central banks. However, one has to ask whether this is still the case for most modern economies. If it is not the case, what then is the rationale for central banks?

NYT Op-Ed by Nurul Izzah





The conviction of my father, Anwar Ibrahim, a former deputy prime minister and the country’s opposition leader. In February, the highest court in Malaysia sent him to prison for five years on trumped up charges of sodomy. He is serving his third prison sentence since 1999.

In March, I delivered a speech in Parliament focused on good governance and judicial reform on behalf of my father. The reading was deemed seditious by the government, and I was arrested and locked up overnight.

The Sedition Act, which criminalizes speech uttered “to excite disaffection” against the government, is one of this administration’s favorite cudgels. Its definition is so broad that it gives the government sweeping powers to arrest and lock up critics under the guise of punishing “sedition” or in the ostensible pursuit of maintaining public order.

In the last two years, it has been used successfully to harass or prosecute scores of people, mostly government officials, including several members of Parliament. The cartoonist Zulkiflee Anwar Ulhaque, better known as Zunar, was hit with nine charges under the Sedition Act — mostly based on tweets allegedly attacking the judiciary over the verdict against my father. His artwork and cartoons were confiscated, and he is now out on bail.

In addition to harassing me and persecuting my father, the state has applied constant pressure on my mother, a state assemblywoman, in hopes that she will wilt both physically and psychologically. The police have also hinted of their plans to interrogate my younger sister, Nurul Nuha, who is leading March 2 Freedom, a coalition to free my father.

We are running out of family members for officials to arrest on bogus charges.

What’s most alarming is that the government’s actions are part of a much larger pattern of threats to the rule of law and human rights. In recent months, every week or so brings news of the politically motivated detention of a government critic. I am out on bail now, but my arrest is intended to silence me and to warn other would-be government critics.

The United Malays National Organization, known as UMNO, and its allies have been in power since independence in 1957. The tempo of state repression quickened two years ago after the 2013 parliamentary elections when the opposition won 51 percent of votes cast, versus 47 percent for the government.

Through gerrymandering and the creation of uneven electoral districts, the ruling coalition clung to power by holding on to 60 percent of the seats. The Electoral Integrity Project, an international organization, recently rated Malaysia as having the worst electoral-district boundaries in the world and among the worst election rules. This places Malaysia alongside countries like Zimbabwe, Angola and Egypt.

The opposition’s showing at the polls two years ago was a political near-death experience for Prime Minister Najib Razak and the ruling party. It was answered with investigations, arrests and imprisonment.

Meanwhile, UMNO, whose main constituency has historically been the ethnic Malay Muslim majority, with help from its pliant coalition partners, has cynically raised the mercury on issues related to race, religion and the Malaysian royal family, so as to keep the multiethnic opposition coalition on the defensive.Advertisement

Religious freedom in a country with sizable Christian, Buddhist and Hindu minorities is now endangered as public figures vying for popular support among Muslims have supported the persecution of religious minorities. Christians, who make up about 10 percent of the population, have been a prime target.

11 Mayıs 2015 Pazartesi

Love and Marriage During the Great Depression

In a recent Journal of Economic History piece, Matthew Hill studies the effect of economic conditions on marriage during the Great Depression. In the short-run, marriage was delayed. However, in the long-run, marriages formed during the tough times of the Great Depression were more stable. Here is the abstract to his paper:
I examine the impact of the Great Depression on marriage outcomes and find that marriage rates and local economic conditions are positively correlated. Specifically, poor labor market opportunities for men negatively impact marriage. Conversely, there is some evidence that poor female labor markets actually increase marriage in the period. While the Great Depression did lower marriage rates, the effect was not long lasting: marriages were delayed, not denied. The primary long-run effect of the downturn on marriage was stability: Marriages formed in tough economic times were more likely to survive compared to matches made in more prosperous time periods.

New Food Find - Hainan Joy

Apparently they started as a cakes/cookie place a few shops away. They were doing so well that they decided to explore more their roots in Hananese cuisine, albeit the colonial Hainanese dishes. I accidentally stumbled on the place with a dear friend as I did not want to dine at Fatty Crab at 6pm, too early and too crabby at 6pm. The place is located opposite Fatty Crab @ Taman Megah.

Its simply called Hainan Joy. I asked for their signature dish and they replied its the chicken rice, .... again 6pm is not a time for chicken rice, so we ordered ala carte. We had the chicken chop and mutton stew with rice. I would rate the mutton stew at 9/10 ... 1000% better than any mutton or oxtail stuff from Coliseum, and NO STARCH (flour). Great stuff. The stew was aromatic and meat sooo tender.

The chicken chop was simply the BEST chicken chop ever ... crispy batter and juicy chicken well marinated... drizzled with a simple sauce (non starchy or brown saucey). I also had the Hainanese coffee, basically very very good and kau local coffee with condensed milk ... magnificent.

I did not get to try many dishes but from the 3 alone, it tells me a lot about they way they make their food. Just the oil to fry the chicken chop showed that they change their oil daily. Even the fried egg is nice and runny. Even the chips were pretty good. The stew was magnificent.

Give it a go, you won't be disappointed.





The simple non-descript menu belies the integrity of their dishes.



53, Jalan SS24/8, Taman Megah, Petaling Jaya, Kelana Jaya, 47301

Mon.-Sun. 08:00-21:00

7 Mayıs 2015 Perşembe

Asset Management Is Transforming the Financial System

Below is a Milken Institute video which features a roundtable discussing the shape and size of the asset management industry and how it is changing the global financial system.


5 Mayıs 2015 Salı

Innovation and Religion

Stuart Henderson, my PhD student, has a  great blog post at the NEP-HIS Blog, which reviews a paper by Roland Benabou, Davide Ticchi and Andrea Vindigni entitled Religion and Innovation. In this paper, the authors argue that greater religiosity is almost uniformly and very significantly associated to less favourable views of innovation. However, Stuart rightly points out that there may be difference across denominations - some religions may positively effect innovation. Indeed, the economic historian in me would point out that many of the founding fathers of modern science had a theistic worldview which underpinned their science - e.g., Kepler, Pascal, Boyle, Newton, Faraday, Lister, Maxwell, Kelvin, Pasteur etc. In other words, these pioneers believed that there is a God who has created all things in an orderly manner and that there are laws of science which can be discovered through human investigation. Without this presupposition, one has to ask would modern science exist? Now there is an interesting counterfactual!