23 Şubat 2013 Cumartesi

New Fund: CIMB-Principal Enhanced Opportunity Bond Fund


They say that the only constant in life is 'change'. Well, not always. Hopefully, with this new fund, you will find comfort in its stability. Furthermore, it aims to provide more returns than the current Fixed Deposit rate, and is more stable than equities. Riding on the growth of the Asian countries, investors have the opportunity to diversity their portfolio and increase the returns. This fund is only available until 4 April 2013 !


What is CIMB-Principal Enhanced Opportunity Bond Fund?
It is a close-ended fund that aims to provide investors with total return through investments in a portfolio of debt securities primarily in bonds. The fund seeks to achieve its overall objective by providing total returns consisting of a combination of interest income and capital appreciation


Investment Strategy

Under general market conditions, between 70% to 99% (both inclusive) of the Fund’s net asset value (“NAV”) will be invested in non-ringgit debt securities primarily in bonds (including convertible bonds). Of the 99%, up to 40% of its NAV may be invested in unrated securities and high yield securities respectively while the remainder will be invested in investment grade securities. These investment grade securities are issued or backed by governments, government agencies, supranational organizations, corporate or other issuers. At least 1% of the Fund’s NAV will be maintained in the form of liquid assets such as bank deposits for liquidity purpose.

However, in the event of limited non-ringgit debt securities, the fund manager will have the discretion to invest in the ringgit debt securities primarily in bonds with yield at the prevailing market condition, if the fund manager is of the opinion that by doing so is in the best interest of the Fund.


While the Manager intends to adopt a buy-and-hold strategy for the Fund whereby the securities purchased will be held for the tenure of the Fund or to maturity of the securities,
the Manager reserves the right to deal with the securities in the best interest of the Unit holders in the event of a credit rating downgrade.




The Fund is suitable for investors who have three (3) years investment goals and are not planning to have access to their money in the next three (3) years. It is also suitable for investors who are seeking exposure to investment opportunities in debt securities.




Source: Fund prospectus

21 Şubat 2013 Perşembe

Why TUNE INSURANCE is Out of Tune?


Every wonder why we didn't cover the IPO for Tune Ins ? Other than CNY mood, it's because of the unexciting part of this new stock. Why? Please read on...


Tune Ins Holdings Sdn Bhd (TIH) operates 2 core businesses. First, it provides online insurance where insurance products are sold as part of the customer’s online booking process with their partners namely AirAsia, Tune Hotels and AirAsia Expedia. TIH also operates a general insurance business, through 83.26% owned subsidiary - TIMB.



Why invest in Tune Insurance Holdings?

  1. Wide and cost effective distribution channels
  2. Provide ease in buying coverage
  3. Exclusive partnership with AirAsia
  4. Ability to ride on AirAsia’s robust growth
  5. Additional revenue and cost synergies from TIMB
  6. Robust industry prospects


However, some of the above investing reasons had also became the disadvantages of TIH. It's reliant on AirAsia business is too important. TIH's success is very much depends on the success of AirAsia businesses, and because of its relationship with AirAsia, TIH would face difficulties in forging a partnership with other airline.


Meanwhile, for TIH domestic general insurance, stiff competition and the implementation of tighter capital requirement for insurance companies may affect its operations. It's in the industry where size does matter. I don't think TIH can cross-sell it's online clients easily on other general insurance, such as fire and car insurance.


Forecast and Valuation given by TA Securities Research
Going forward, we believe TIH’s gross earned premiums will be closely linked to increase in passengers carried on AirAsia. We estimate AirAsia’s passengers carried to increase at an encouraging pace of around 15% per annum. Tagging a 20% to industry’s targeted PER of 10x, we fairly value TIH at RM1.00.


Fair Value RM 1.00 ???
Hey dude, the IPO price is RM1.35 !!!

3 Şubat 2013 Pazar

The Old & New Palm Oil Growers Scheme

Both schemes have been categorized as "share-farming" interest scheme by Securities Commission of Malaysia, yet, both were in the limelight lately due to their contradict directions. The old one (Country Heights Growers Scheme) is wooing investors to terminate it, while the new one (Golden Agro Growers Scheme) is wooing investors to invest.


Why CHGS was in HOT water?
CHGS was the 1st oil palm plantation investment scheme in Malaysia. Launched in 2007, it guaranteed a 8% return annually for first 3 years, and subsequently it is projected to distribute the returns of over 11% per year throughout a period of 20 years. However, voluntary early termination of the scheme was proposed recently, citing that CHGS was unable to reach its full potential because of poor fresh fruit bunches (FFB) yield. Various factors were given such as unpredictable weather conditions, incursions of wild elephants into the estate, poor soil fertility, shortage of key personnel and manual workers, and uncompromising terrain.


How Good is GAGS?
On the other hand, the new GAGS guaranteed 7% return yearly for first 5 years. Subsequently, investors will enjoy 100% of the net profit of the plantation until 20 years maturity. Investors were told that margins associated with the palm oil industry have always been good traditionally. So, in the event of falling CPO prices, it still can make money if the estate was managed well and efficiently. A mill was also planned to be set up in 4 to 5 years to avoid uncertainties of refusal by external millers.


Are they related?
Although Finance Malaysia opines that both schemes were not related, but the timing of it is somewhat makes us curious. Is it really so coincidence? It was like giving the existing investors of CHGS the chance to switch over their investments to GAGS. Both schemes are very much similar, but with different people managing them which is the key determining factors for its success or failure. Anyway, Finance Malaysia doubt the success of the new GAGS which don't have proven track record and was planted in Sarawak where peat soil may increase the cost of planting. The problems faced by CHGS may reoccurred on GAGS in the future. Estate management plays an important part in such scheme.